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Thursday, September 16, 2010

College Football Betting Picks

Cincinnati at North Carolina State
Thursday, 7:45 pm Eastern - ESPN

Cincinnati and North Carolina State get the ESPN spotlight on Thursday night and it will be their first-ever meeting. The Bearcats come into this game at 1-1 while the Wolfpack are 2-0. North Carolina State is 2-0 for the first time since 2002 but wins over Central Florida and Western Carolina don’t tell us too much.

NC State is a 2-point favorite with a total of 54.5 at SBG Global.

This is not the same Cincinnati team that was a Big East power. Brian Kelly is in Notre Dame and the Bearcats are just not the same. They lost their opener at Fresno but came back last week to rout Indiana State. Quarterback Zach Collaros had two touchdowns last week through the air and also rushed for one. Darrin Williams had 117 yards on 13 carries.

North Carolina State may be 2-0 but they had only 239 total yards against UCF last week. QB Russell Wilson was awful and the Wolfpack was fortunate to win at all. The defense won the game last week as they forced Central Florida into five turnovers.

Here are the betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. The Bearcats are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Wolfpack are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games. The Wolfpack are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Big East.

The Under is 8-1 in the Bearcats last 9 Thursday games. The Over is 4-1 in the Bearcats last 5 games overall. The Under is 5-2 in the Bearcats last 7 non-conference games. The Over is 15-7-1 in the Bearcats last 23 road college football betting games. The Over is 11-2 in the Wolfpack’s last 13 games overall. The Over is 18-7-1 in the Wolfpack’s last 26 home games. The Under is 10-4-2 in the Wolfpack’s last 16 non-conference games.


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